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Prediction markets

11 active markets · category “Fed”

How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting
October Meeting74%
September Meeting
September Meeting68%3 more
$1.70MVol. Oct 29fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other
Other65%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause33%7 more
$627KVol. Sep 16fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other
Other73%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause23%7 more
$581KVol. Oct 28fed
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet85%
Central Bank
Central Bank84%36 more
$103KVol. Jul 29fed
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause78%
Other
Other22%7 more
$917KVol. Jul 29fed
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

No change61%
25 bps increase24%3 more
$361KVol. Oct 28fed
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

0
21%YesNo
1
21%YesNo
$59KVol. Jul 29fed
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

1 (25 bps)39%
2 (50 bps)29%4 more
$66KVol. Dec 31fed
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

9%

chance

YesNo
$5.7KVol. Dec 31fed
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$347.89Vol. Dec 31fed
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

3%

chance

YesNo
$318KVol. Dec 31fed