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Prediction markets

16 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng99%9 more
$879KVol. Jul 30science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

0
1%YesNo
1
53%YesNo
$22KVol. Aug 3science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest66%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest20%2 more
$128KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

50%

chance

YesNo
$15KVol. Aug 2science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

>6"
>6"64%
5-6"
5-6"37%4 more
$41KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

600mm+99%
<400mm
<400mm1%8 more
$51KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC78%
1.15–1.19ºC16%4 more
$51KVol. Aug 1science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

August 30
August 3049%
December 31
December 3144%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

100–12955%
130–15938%7 more
$2.2KVol. Aug 1science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$122KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5"
<0.5"91%
0.5-1"
0.5-1"22%5 more
$4.8KVol. Jul 31science