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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$3.58M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
66 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
3%
5 more
$1.57M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$758K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
49 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
95%
20-40
2%
3 more
$281K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$2.12M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
61 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
50-74
39%
25-49
31%
3 more
$15K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$65
41 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
July 28
44%
August 31
33%
33 more
$58K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
52 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
98%
285M
70%
4 more
$29K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
45%
December
14%
5 more
$146K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
45 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$91K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$58
51 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 27?
<200
76%
200-219
17%
2 more
$1.7K
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
36 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
July 31
99%
August 31
99%
1 more
$64K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
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